Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, including Met Office and GFS ensembles, indicate an overnight low near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 18 amid a modest cooldown from prior above-normal warmth. Westerly winds, increased humidity, and scattered shower potential introduce variability in minimum readings, with some runs showing 24–26°C while others hold closer to 27°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. This genuine spread in guidance, typical for coastal Mediterranean locations where sea-breeze and frontal influences interact, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between a 25°C low and higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
30°C or higher 93%
20°C or below 69%
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
47%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
93%
30°C or higher 93%
20°C or below 69%
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$16 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, including Met Office and GFS ensembles, indicate an overnight low near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 18 amid a modest cooldown from prior above-normal warmth. Westerly winds, increased humidity, and scattered shower potential introduce variability in minimum readings, with some runs showing 24–26°C while others hold closer to 27°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. This genuine spread in guidance, typical for coastal Mediterranean locations where sea-breeze and frontal influences interact, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between a 25°C low and higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, including Met Office and GFS ensembles, indicate an overnight low near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 18 amid a modest cooldown from prior above-normal warmth. Westerly winds, increased humidity, and scattered shower potential introduce variability in minimum readings, with some runs showing 24–26°C while others hold closer to 27°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. This genuine spread in guidance, typical for coastal Mediterranean locations where sea-breeze and frontal influences interact, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between a 25°C low and higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, including Met Office and GFS ensembles, indicate an overnight low near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 18 amid a modest cooldown from prior above-normal warmth. Westerly winds, increased humidity, and scattered shower potential introduce variability in minimum readings, with some runs showing 24–26°C while others hold closer to 27°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. This genuine spread in guidance, typical for coastal Mediterranean locations where sea-breeze and frontal influences interact, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between a 25°C low and higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely clarify steering patterns and exact minimum thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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