Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability in Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+34 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Democratic—and incumbent Ayanna Pressley's commanding position after winning her last general election with 97% and her primary unopposed at 100%. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary despite the May 5 initial deadline passing, leaving only a minimally funded independent, Kelechi Linardon, in the general election field. With ratings across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others unanimously "Solid" or "Safe Democratic," the market reflects minimal competition ahead of the June 2 final filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a credible late Republican recruit, a Democratic primary upset, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents in safe seats suggest low likelihood absent scandal or health issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-07 House Election Winner
MA-07 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,446 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,030 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability in Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+34 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Democratic—and incumbent Ayanna Pressley's commanding position after winning her last general election with 97% and her primary unopposed at 100%. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary despite the May 5 initial deadline passing, leaving only a minimally funded independent, Kelechi Linardon, in the general election field. With ratings across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others unanimously "Solid" or "Safe Democratic," the market reflects minimal competition ahead of the June 2 final filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a credible late Republican recruit, a Democratic primary upset, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents in safe seats suggest low likelihood absent scandal or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$8,476End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability in Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+34 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Democratic—and incumbent Ayanna Pressley's commanding position after winning her last general election with 97% and her primary unopposed at 100%. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary despite the May 5 initial deadline passing, leaving only a minimally funded independent, Kelechi Linardon, in the general election field. With ratings across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others unanimously "Solid" or "Safe Democratic," the market reflects minimal competition ahead of the June 2 final filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a credible late Republican recruit, a Democratic primary upset, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents in safe seats suggest low likelihood absent scandal or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,476End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability in Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+34 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Democratic—and incumbent Ayanna Pressley's commanding position after winning her last general election with 97% and her primary unopposed at 100%. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary despite the May 5 initial deadline passing, leaving only a minimally funded independent, Kelechi Linardon, in the general election field. With ratings across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others unanimously "Solid" or "Safe Democratic," the market reflects minimal competition ahead of the June 2 final filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a credible late Republican recruit, a Democratic primary upset, or a national GOP wave, though historical precedents in safe seats suggest low likelihood absent scandal or health issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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