The May 2026 U.S. CPI release, published June 10 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed a seasonally adjusted 0.5% month-over-month increase—exactly matching the market-implied outcome at 100%—after a 0.6% April gain and aligning with consensus forecasts. Energy prices rose 3.9% and drove over 60% of the monthly advance amid elevated gasoline and fuel costs linked to geopolitical tensions, while shelter and food components also contributed to the 4.2% year-over-year headline pace. Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month, below prior and expected levels. With the official figure now confirmed, the near-certain resolution leaves limited room for shifts absent subsequent methodological revisions or data corrections, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for headline monthly prints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.5% 100.0%
≤0.1% <1%
0.2% <1%
0.3% <1%
$127,500 Vol.
$127,500 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
No
0.2%
No
0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
Yes
0.6%
No
0.7%
No
0.8%
No
≥0.9%
No
0.5% 100.0%
≤0.1% <1%
0.2% <1%
0.3% <1%
$127,500 Vol.
$127,500 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$3,845 Vol.
No
0.2%
$7,808 Vol.
No
0.3%
$9,744 Vol.
No
0.4%
$13,278 Vol.
No
0.5%
$25,653 Vol.
Yes
0.6%
$29,915 Vol.
No
0.7%
$18,613 Vol.
No
0.8%
$11,551 Vol.
No
≥0.9%
$7,093 Vol.
No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 U.S. CPI release, published June 10 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed a seasonally adjusted 0.5% month-over-month increase—exactly matching the market-implied outcome at 100%—after a 0.6% April gain and aligning with consensus forecasts. Energy prices rose 3.9% and drove over 60% of the monthly advance amid elevated gasoline and fuel costs linked to geopolitical tensions, while shelter and food components also contributed to the 4.2% year-over-year headline pace. Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month, below prior and expected levels. With the official figure now confirmed, the near-certain resolution leaves limited room for shifts absent subsequent methodological revisions or data corrections, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for headline monthly prints.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$127,500End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The May 2026 U.S. CPI release, published June 10 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed a seasonally adjusted 0.5% month-over-month increase—exactly matching the market-implied outcome at 100%—after a 0.6% April gain and aligning with consensus forecasts. Energy prices rose 3.9% and drove over 60% of the monthly advance amid elevated gasoline and fuel costs linked to geopolitical tensions, while shelter and food components also contributed to the 4.2% year-over-year headline pace. Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month, below prior and expected levels. With the official figure now confirmed, the near-certain resolution leaves limited room for shifts absent subsequent methodological revisions or data corrections, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for headline monthly prints.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$127,500End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The May 2026 U.S. CPI release, published June 10 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed a seasonally adjusted 0.5% month-over-month increase—exactly matching the market-implied outcome at 100%—after a 0.6% April gain and aligning with consensus forecasts. Energy prices rose 3.9% and drove over 60% of the monthly advance amid elevated gasoline and fuel costs linked to geopolitical tensions, while shelter and food components also contributed to the 4.2% year-over-year headline pace. Core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month, below prior and expected levels. With the official figure now confirmed, the near-certain resolution leaves limited room for shifts absent subsequent methodological revisions or data corrections, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for headline monthly prints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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