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Economics predictions & odds

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Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

2%

$13.7K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

8

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

91%

$170 billion

$83 Vol.

$485 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 4?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 4?

98%

$695

$496 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

83%

December 31, 2027

$470K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

32

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$633K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

62%

↓ 60

$678K Vol.

$158K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

38%

↑ 700

$214K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

17%

June 30

$207K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

54%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

50%

$3.3K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 28 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

95%

↑ 80,000

$35M Vol.

$114K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

59%

↑ $3.00

$22.3K Vol.

$52.6K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

77%

↓ 500

$109K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

21%

May 31

$121K Vol.

$90.1K Liq.

10

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$285 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$267 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

91%

$99

$189 Vol.

$772 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

60%

↑ $280

$7.5K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economics.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Economics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $39.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 85,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.