Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican majority, where repeated procedural disruptions from hardline members—including recent floor rebellions led by Reps. Thomas Massie and Anna Paulina Luna—have forced multiple schedule changes and early recesses to avoid contentious votes such as the Hegseth impeachment resolution. These internal caucus tensions, combined with stalled priorities like appropriations and border measures, have tested his control but have not triggered a successful motion to vacate or resignation push as of mid-September 2026. Traders price low near-term removal odds because Johnson has managed these challenges through concessions and agenda adjustments ahead of the November midterms, though any post-election shift in House control or further conservative defections could alter the dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$118,073 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30, 2026
1%
December 31, 2026
12%
$118,073 Vol.
September 30, 2026
$1,136 Vol.
1%
December 31, 2026
$4,258 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican majority, where repeated procedural disruptions from hardline members—including recent floor rebellions led by Reps. Thomas Massie and Anna Paulina Luna—have forced multiple schedule changes and early recesses to avoid contentious votes such as the Hegseth impeachment resolution. These internal caucus tensions, combined with stalled priorities like appropriations and border measures, have tested his control but have not triggered a successful motion to vacate or resignation push as of mid-September 2026. Traders price low near-term removal odds because Johnson has managed these challenges through concessions and agenda adjustments ahead of the November midterms, though any post-election shift in House control or further conservative defections could alter the dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$118,073End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican majority, where repeated procedural disruptions from hardline members—including recent floor rebellions led by Reps. Thomas Massie and Anna Paulina Luna—have forced multiple schedule changes and early recesses to avoid contentious votes such as the Hegseth impeachment resolution. These internal caucus tensions, combined with stalled priorities like appropriations and border measures, have tested his control but have not triggered a successful motion to vacate or resignation push as of mid-September 2026. Traders price low near-term removal odds because Johnson has managed these challenges through concessions and agenda adjustments ahead of the November midterms, though any post-election shift in House control or further conservative defections could alter the dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$118,073End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican majority, where repeated procedural disruptions from hardline members—including recent floor rebellions led by Reps. Thomas Massie and Anna Paulina Luna—have forced multiple schedule changes and early recesses to avoid contentious votes such as the Hegseth impeachment resolution. These internal caucus tensions, combined with stalled priorities like appropriations and border measures, have tested his control but have not triggered a successful motion to vacate or resignation push as of mid-September 2026. Traders price low near-term removal odds because Johnson has managed these challenges through concessions and agenda adjustments ahead of the November midterms, though any post-election shift in House control or further conservative defections could alter the dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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