Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and appointments as Iran’s Supreme Leader since his March 2026 selection by the Assembly of Experts following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination, yet no independently verified public appearance, video, or audio recording has occurred in over six months. Regime officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, cite security needs amid ongoing conflict with the US and Israel and assert private meetings confirming his health and authority, while state media highlight his qualifications and issue indirect proofs such as undated clips or third-party accounts. Persistent questions stem from his reported injuries in the February attack, absence from his father’s July funeral, and the regime’s tight control over access, shaping trader assessments of whether a verifiable sighting will occur before the market deadline amid these structural constraints.