Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Netanyahu out by...?
Geopolitics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

icon for Netanyahu out by...?
Geopolitics·Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$124,354,422 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Earn 3.25%
Polymarket

$124,354,422 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$2,500,852 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu’s position as Israel’s prime minister hinges on the October 27, 2026 Knesset election and subsequent coalition negotiations.** Recent polls show his Likud-led right-wing bloc holding roughly 51–54 seats, short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern, while opposition parties led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and others hover near or slightly above that threshold in a fragmented field. Ongoing military operations in Gaza, lingering security concerns from prior conflicts, and Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial continue to shape voter sentiment and coalition dynamics. Post-election talks could extend into December or beyond, raising the chance of either a narrow right-wing retention, a unity government, or a shift that removes him from office. Traders weigh these parliamentary arithmetic and alliance prospects when assessing timelines for any leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,354,422
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu’s position as Israel’s prime minister hinges on the October 27, 2026 Knesset election and subsequent coalition negotiations.** Recent polls show his Likud-led right-wing bloc holding roughly 51–54 seats, short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern, while opposition parties led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and others hover near or slightly above that threshold in a fragmented field. Ongoing military operations in Gaza, lingering security concerns from prior conflicts, and Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial continue to shape voter sentiment and coalition dynamics. Post-election talks could extend into December or beyond, raising the chance of either a narrow right-wing retention, a unity government, or a shift that removes him from office. Traders weigh these parliamentary arithmetic and alliance prospects when assessing timelines for any leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,354,422
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

Related

icon for Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

6%
icon for Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%
icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?

1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Netanyahu out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 47%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netanyahu out by...?" has generated $124.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netanyahu out by...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netanyahu out by...?" is "December 31" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netanyahu out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.