OpenAI’s Codex coding agent has seen repeated weekly usage limit resets for paid plans, driven primarily by efficiency shortfalls in newer models like GPT-5.6 Sol that trigger excessive background token consumption during agentic tasks, auto-review, and subagent calls. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple resets in late August 2026, including a global reset on August 31 to celebrate 25 million active users and earlier ones tied to fixes for compaction, duplicate retries, and scheduling bugs that reduced effective capacity by up to 33% for some users. These moves respond to widespread complaints and competitive pressure from tools like Claude Code, while OpenAI also rolled out banked resets and usage transparency improvements. The next catalysts include any major model updates or user milestone announcements that could prompt further resets before the typical weekly cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 7, 2026
September 7
79%
September 14
56%
September 21
90%
September 28
93%
$126 Vol.
September 7
$0 Vol.
79%
September 14
$0 Vol.
56%
September 21
$39 Vol.
90%
September 28
$87 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex coding agent has seen repeated weekly usage limit resets for paid plans, driven primarily by efficiency shortfalls in newer models like GPT-5.6 Sol that trigger excessive background token consumption during agentic tasks, auto-review, and subagent calls. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple resets in late August 2026, including a global reset on August 31 to celebrate 25 million active users and earlier ones tied to fixes for compaction, duplicate retries, and scheduling bugs that reduced effective capacity by up to 33% for some users. These moves respond to widespread complaints and competitive pressure from tools like Claude Code, while OpenAI also rolled out banked resets and usage transparency improvements. The next catalysts include any major model updates or user milestone announcements that could prompt further resets before the typical weekly cadence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$126End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex coding agent has seen repeated weekly usage limit resets for paid plans, driven primarily by efficiency shortfalls in newer models like GPT-5.6 Sol that trigger excessive background token consumption during agentic tasks, auto-review, and subagent calls. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple resets in late August 2026, including a global reset on August 31 to celebrate 25 million active users and earlier ones tied to fixes for compaction, duplicate retries, and scheduling bugs that reduced effective capacity by up to 33% for some users. These moves respond to widespread complaints and competitive pressure from tools like Claude Code, while OpenAI also rolled out banked resets and usage transparency improvements. The next catalysts include any major model updates or user milestone announcements that could prompt further resets before the typical weekly cadence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$126End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s Codex coding agent has seen repeated weekly usage limit resets for paid plans, driven primarily by efficiency shortfalls in newer models like GPT-5.6 Sol that trigger excessive background token consumption during agentic tasks, auto-review, and subagent calls. Engineering lead Thibault Sottiaux has announced multiple resets in late August 2026, including a global reset on August 31 to celebrate 25 million active users and earlier ones tied to fixes for compaction, duplicate retries, and scheduling bugs that reduced effective capacity by up to 33% for some users. These moves respond to widespread complaints and competitive pressure from tools like Claude Code, while OpenAI also rolled out banked resets and usage transparency improvements. The next catalysts include any major model updates or user milestone announcements that could prompt further resets before the typical weekly cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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