SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing with the SEC on May 20 has accelerated the IPO timeline, positioning a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12 with a roadshow launch targeted for June 4 and pricing around June 11. This faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional banker involvement, including Goldman Sachs as lead, underpin the 77.5% market-implied probability for June 12 while compressing odds on adjacent dates. Traders are pricing in strong institutional demand for what could become the largest U.S. listing on record at a projected $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation, though execution remains subject to final roadshow feedback and market conditions. The closely clustered lower probabilities across late June reflect residual uncertainty around any last-minute delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트June 12 77%
June 16 10%
June 23 8%
June 17 7.5%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
4%
June 4
4%
June 5
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
4%
June 10
5%
June 11
4%
June 12
77%
June 15
1%
June 16
10%
June 17
8%
June 18
7%
June 22
1%
June 23
8%
June 24
5%
June 25
5%
June 26
2%
June 29
2%
June 30 or later
1%
June 12 77%
June 16 10%
June 23 8%
June 17 7.5%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
4%
June 4
4%
June 5
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
4%
June 10
5%
June 11
4%
June 12
77%
June 15
1%
June 16
10%
June 17
8%
June 18
7%
June 22
1%
June 23
8%
June 24
5%
June 25
5%
June 26
2%
June 29
2%
June 30 or later
1%
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing with the SEC on May 20 has accelerated the IPO timeline, positioning a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12 with a roadshow launch targeted for June 4 and pricing around June 11. This faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional banker involvement, including Goldman Sachs as lead, underpin the 77.5% market-implied probability for June 12 while compressing odds on adjacent dates. Traders are pricing in strong institutional demand for what could become the largest U.S. listing on record at a projected $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation, though execution remains subject to final roadshow feedback and market conditions. The closely clustered lower probabilities across late June reflect residual uncertainty around any last-minute delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문