Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter represent the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2026 debut near its most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025. Strong user growth past 120 million athletes, roughly 50% revenue increases driven by subscriptions, and acquisitions such as Runna support expectations for a $2–3 billion outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while market conditions, consumer-tech multiples, and final pricing remain variable. Higher bins above $4 billion carry lower odds due to limited precedent for rapid re-ratings in the fitness app space, and the modest probability assigned to no IPO before 2028 reflects the absence of confirmed delays despite ongoing data-protection moves signaling preparation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20億～30億ドル 33%
20億ドル未満 20%
2028年以前にIPOなし 9%
40億～50億ドル 8%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
2027/12/31
20億ドル未満
20%
20億～30億ドル
35%
30億〜40億ドル
4%
40億～50億ドル
21%
50億～70億ドル
5%
70億～100億ドル
1%
100億〜150億
6%
150億ドル以上
3%
2028年以前にIPOなし
9%
20億～30億ドル 33%
20億ドル未満 20%
2028年以前にIPOなし 9%
40億～50億ドル 8%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
2027/12/31
20億ドル未満
$812 Vol.
20%
20億～30億ドル
$54,169 Vol.
35%
30億〜40億ドル
$25,125 Vol.
4%
40億～50億ドル
$1,113 Vol.
21%
50億～70億ドル
$847 Vol.
5%
70億～100億ドル
$944 Vol.
1%
100億〜150億
$1,557 Vol.
6%
150億ドル以上
$1,240 Vol.
3%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$563 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter represent the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2026 debut near its most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025. Strong user growth past 120 million athletes, roughly 50% revenue increases driven by subscriptions, and acquisitions such as Runna support expectations for a $2–3 billion outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while market conditions, consumer-tech multiples, and final pricing remain variable. Higher bins above $4 billion carry lower odds due to limited precedent for rapid re-ratings in the fitness app space, and the modest probability assigned to no IPO before 2028 reflects the absence of confirmed delays despite ongoing data-protection moves signaling preparation.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
音量
$86,371終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter represent the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2026 debut near its most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025. Strong user growth past 120 million athletes, roughly 50% revenue increases driven by subscriptions, and acquisitions such as Runna support expectations for a $2–3 billion outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while market conditions, consumer-tech multiples, and final pricing remain variable. Higher bins above $4 billion carry lower odds due to limited precedent for rapid re-ratings in the fitness app space, and the modest probability assigned to no IPO before 2028 reflects the absence of confirmed delays despite ongoing data-protection moves signaling preparation.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$86,371終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter represent the main catalyst anchoring trader sentiment around a 2026 debut near its most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025. Strong user growth past 120 million athletes, roughly 50% revenue increases driven by subscriptions, and acquisitions such as Runna support expectations for a $2–3 billion outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while market conditions, consumer-tech multiples, and final pricing remain variable. Higher bins above $4 billion carry lower odds due to limited precedent for rapid re-ratings in the fitness app space, and the modest probability assigned to no IPO before 2028 reflects the absence of confirmed delays despite ongoing data-protection moves signaling preparation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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