Skip to main content
icon for Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Elections·Main Election

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang 83%

Ho Hsin-chun 10%

Yang Chiung-ying 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Johnny Chiang 83%

Ho Hsin-chun 10%

Yang Chiung-ying 9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Johnny Chiang

Johnny Chiang

$962 Vol.

83%

icon for Ho Hsin-chun

Ho Hsin-chun

$103 Vol.

10%

icon for Yang Chiung-ying

Yang Chiung-ying

$21 Vol.

9%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Johnny Chiang leads the Taichung mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to his March 2026 party nomination victory over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying in internal polling averages. As a former KMT chair and current Legislative Deputy Speaker, Chiang benefits from established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the November vote. DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun trails as the main opposition contender, while Yang's odds reflect her primary defeat and subsequent pledge to support the nominee. With roughly three months until election day and no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported since the KMT decision, the market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of an early unified ticket for the larger opposition party in this key central Taiwan contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,086
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Johnny Chiang leads the Taichung mayoral race with strong trader consensus due to his March 2026 party nomination victory over Legislator Yang Chiung-ying in internal polling averages. As a former KMT chair and current Legislative Deputy Speaker, Chiang benefits from established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the November vote. DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun trails as the main opposition contender, while Yang's odds reflect her primary defeat and subsequent pledge to support the nominee. With roughly three months until election day and no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported since the KMT decision, the market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of an early unified ticket for the larger opposition party in this key central Taiwan contest.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,086
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?

Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?

84%
icon for Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

91%
icon for Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Johnny Chiang" at 83%, followed by "Ho Hsin-chun" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taichung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" is "Johnny Chiang" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ho Hsin-chun" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taichung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.