Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37%, with a late-August Reuters/Ipsos survey showing a second-term low of 33% amid 64% disapproval. The decline stems primarily from sustained public concern over the administration's military actions in Iran since mid-July and persistent economic pressures including prices. Erosion has been most pronounced among Republicans, Republican-leaning independents, and Gen X voters, widening the partisan gap while limiting upside. With the August 28 measurement only days away and no major new policy announcements or economic data releases scheduled, trader consensus reflects limited room for rapid movement, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 37–38 range. Late polling releases or sudden diplomatic developments could still produce modest separation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated37.5–37.9 27%
38.0–38.4 26%
38.5–38.9 23%
37.0–37.4 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
15%
37.0–37.4
22%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
26%
38.5–38.9
23%
39.0+
6%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.0–38.4 26%
38.5–38.9 23%
37.0–37.4 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
$0 Vol.
15%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
22%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
26%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
23%
39.0+
$78 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37%, with a late-August Reuters/Ipsos survey showing a second-term low of 33% amid 64% disapproval. The decline stems primarily from sustained public concern over the administration's military actions in Iran since mid-July and persistent economic pressures including prices. Erosion has been most pronounced among Republicans, Republican-leaning independents, and Gen X voters, widening the partisan gap while limiting upside. With the August 28 measurement only days away and no major new policy announcements or economic data releases scheduled, trader consensus reflects limited room for rapid movement, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 37–38 range. Late polling releases or sudden diplomatic developments could still produce modest separation before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$78End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37%, with a late-August Reuters/Ipsos survey showing a second-term low of 33% amid 64% disapproval. The decline stems primarily from sustained public concern over the administration's military actions in Iran since mid-July and persistent economic pressures including prices. Erosion has been most pronounced among Republicans, Republican-leaning independents, and Gen X voters, widening the partisan gap while limiting upside. With the August 28 measurement only days away and no major new policy announcements or economic data releases scheduled, trader consensus reflects limited room for rapid movement, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 37–38 range. Late polling releases or sudden diplomatic developments could still produce modest separation before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$78End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37%, with a late-August Reuters/Ipsos survey showing a second-term low of 33% amid 64% disapproval. The decline stems primarily from sustained public concern over the administration's military actions in Iran since mid-July and persistent economic pressures including prices. Erosion has been most pronounced among Republicans, Republican-leaning independents, and Gen X voters, widening the partisan gap while limiting upside. With the August 28 measurement only days away and no major new policy announcements or economic data releases scheduled, trader consensus reflects limited room for rapid movement, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 37–38 range. Late polling releases or sudden diplomatic developments could still produce modest separation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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