**US-Iran diplomatic framework advances sanctions relief prospects.** Recent negotiations have produced a 14-point memorandum of understanding, with formal signing expected around June 19, 2026, that outlines US termination of sanctions, access to frozen assets, oil export waivers, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Iranian commitments on its nuclear program, including limits on enrichment and stockpiles. Relief would be phased and performance-based, verified through IAEA processes and tied to broader ceasefires. Earlier temporary OFAC waivers in March 2026 eased some oil sanctions amid energy market pressures, while designations and SDN list updates have continued into June. European partners have signaled readiness to align on relief contingent on verifiable steps. Key upcoming milestones include the MOU execution, 60-day follow-on talks, and any IAEA confirmations that could trigger broader OFAC actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$58,746 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
No
June 15
No
June 17
No
June 19
No
June 30
Yes
$58,746 Vol.
May 31
$8,085 Vol.
No
June 15
$574 Vol.
No
June 17
$9,572 Vol.
No
June 19
$16,081 Vol.
No
June 30
$24,435 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**US-Iran diplomatic framework advances sanctions relief prospects.** Recent negotiations have produced a 14-point memorandum of understanding, with formal signing expected around June 19, 2026, that outlines US termination of sanctions, access to frozen assets, oil export waivers, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Iranian commitments on its nuclear program, including limits on enrichment and stockpiles. Relief would be phased and performance-based, verified through IAEA processes and tied to broader ceasefires. Earlier temporary OFAC waivers in March 2026 eased some oil sanctions amid energy market pressures, while designations and SDN list updates have continued into June. European partners have signaled readiness to align on relief contingent on verifiable steps. Key upcoming milestones include the MOU execution, 60-day follow-on talks, and any IAEA confirmations that could trigger broader OFAC actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Volume
$58,746End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**US-Iran diplomatic framework advances sanctions relief prospects.** Recent negotiations have produced a 14-point memorandum of understanding, with formal signing expected around June 19, 2026, that outlines US termination of sanctions, access to frozen assets, oil export waivers, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Iranian commitments on its nuclear program, including limits on enrichment and stockpiles. Relief would be phased and performance-based, verified through IAEA processes and tied to broader ceasefires. Earlier temporary OFAC waivers in March 2026 eased some oil sanctions amid energy market pressures, while designations and SDN list updates have continued into June. European partners have signaled readiness to align on relief contingent on verifiable steps. Key upcoming milestones include the MOU execution, 60-day follow-on talks, and any IAEA confirmations that could trigger broader OFAC actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$58,746End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**US-Iran diplomatic framework advances sanctions relief prospects.** Recent negotiations have produced a 14-point memorandum of understanding, with formal signing expected around June 19, 2026, that outlines US termination of sanctions, access to frozen assets, oil export waivers, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Iranian commitments on its nuclear program, including limits on enrichment and stockpiles. Relief would be phased and performance-based, verified through IAEA processes and tied to broader ceasefires. Earlier temporary OFAC waivers in March 2026 eased some oil sanctions amid energy market pressures, while designations and SDN list updates have continued into June. European partners have signaled readiness to align on relief contingent on verifiable steps. Key upcoming milestones include the MOU execution, 60-day follow-on talks, and any IAEA confirmations that could trigger broader OFAC actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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