Rachel Anderson's commanding 100% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary market reflects major news outlets' projections of her victory in the May 12, 2026, primary election, where she defeated challengers Thornton Cooper, Jeffrey Kessler, Zachary Shrewsbury, and Rio Phillips based on vote tallies reported shortly after polls closed. This outcome, driven by voter turnout in the low-registration Democratic primary amid West Virginia's Republican-leaning electorate, has solidified trader consensus on her nomination for the general election against incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito. While certification by state officials typically follows without issue, a realistic challenge could arise from a legal dispute over provisional or absentee ballots, though historical precedents in uncontested projections show minimal disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRachel Anderson 100.0%
Rio Phillips <1%
Thornton Cooper <1%
Zachary Shrewsbury <1%
$169,746 Vol.
$169,746 Vol.
Rio Phillips
No
Thornton Cooper
No
Zachary Shrewsbury
No
Jeffrey Kessler
No
Rachel Anderson
Yes
Rachel Anderson 100.0%
Rio Phillips <1%
Thornton Cooper <1%
Zachary Shrewsbury <1%
$169,746 Vol.
$169,746 Vol.
Rio Phillips
No
Thornton Cooper
No
Zachary Shrewsbury
No
Jeffrey Kessler
No
Rachel Anderson
Yes
If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Rachel Anderson's commanding 100% implied probability in the West Virginia Democratic U.S. Senate primary market reflects major news outlets' projections of her victory in the May 12, 2026, primary election, where she defeated challengers Thornton Cooper, Jeffrey Kessler, Zachary Shrewsbury, and Rio Phillips based on vote tallies reported shortly after polls closed. This outcome, driven by voter turnout in the low-registration Democratic primary amid West Virginia's Republican-leaning electorate, has solidified trader consensus on her nomination for the general election against incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito. While certification by state officials typically follows without issue, a realistic challenge could arise from a legal dispute over provisional or absentee ballots, though historical precedents in uncontested projections show minimal disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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