President Donald Trump, as the sitting Republican leader, has issued hundreds of endorsements in the 2026 midterm cycle via Truth Social, achieving a 96% success rate in primaries according to tracking data. Recent activity includes support for Florida House nominees, Alabama Senate and gubernatorial candidates such as Barry Moore and Tommy Tuberville, and others in Ohio, New Hampshire, and South Dakota races ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assess probabilities based on Trump's pattern of backing aligned "America First" Republicans early or after primaries, occasional reversals, and public signals of loyalty on issues like immigration and taxes. Resolution hinges on official announcements before Election Day, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in his influence across Senate, House, and state contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$247,308 Vol.

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
3%
$247,308 Vol.

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
3%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump, as the sitting Republican leader, has issued hundreds of endorsements in the 2026 midterm cycle via Truth Social, achieving a 96% success rate in primaries according to tracking data. Recent activity includes support for Florida House nominees, Alabama Senate and gubernatorial candidates such as Barry Moore and Tommy Tuberville, and others in Ohio, New Hampshire, and South Dakota races ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assess probabilities based on Trump's pattern of backing aligned "America First" Republicans early or after primaries, occasional reversals, and public signals of loyalty on issues like immigration and taxes. Resolution hinges on official announcements before Election Day, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in his influence across Senate, House, and state contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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