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icon for Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

icon for Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$247,308 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$247,308 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

$144,630 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump, as the sitting Republican leader, has issued hundreds of endorsements in the 2026 midterm cycle via Truth Social, achieving a 96% success rate in primaries according to tracking data. Recent activity includes support for Florida House nominees, Alabama Senate and gubernatorial candidates such as Barry Moore and Tommy Tuberville, and others in Ohio, New Hampshire, and South Dakota races ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assess probabilities based on Trump's pattern of backing aligned "America First" Republicans early or after primaries, occasional reversals, and public signals of loyalty on issues like immigration and taxes. Resolution hinges on official announcements before Election Day, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in his influence across Senate, House, and state contests.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$247,308
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump, as the sitting Republican leader, has issued hundreds of endorsements in the 2026 midterm cycle via Truth Social, achieving a 96% success rate in primaries according to tracking data. Recent activity includes support for Florida House nominees, Alabama Senate and gubernatorial candidates such as Barry Moore and Tommy Tuberville, and others in Ohio, New Hampshire, and South Dakota races ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders assess probabilities based on Trump's pattern of backing aligned "America First" Republicans early or after primaries, occasional reversals, and public signals of loyalty on issues like immigration and taxes. Resolution hinges on official announcements before Election Day, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in his influence across Senate, House, and state contests.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$247,308
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump endorse?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Paxton - TX-Sen" at 100%, followed by "Andy Barr - KY-Sen" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump endorse?" has generated $247.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump endorse?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump endorse?" is "Ken Paxton - TX-Sen" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Barr - KY-Sen" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump endorse?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.