Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican runoff for the U.S. Senate against Rep. Julia Letlow after both topped the May 16 primary and eliminated incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Fleming has continued active campaigning, including recent interviews framing himself as a conservative outsider aligned with Trump priorities on issues such as border security and fiscal accountability. Earlier reports of job offers from Trump administration figures to encourage withdrawal date to March and drew public rejections from Fleming, with no subsequent developments or party pressure reported in the past month. Traders assign roughly 90 percent probability that Fleming remains in the race through the runoff, reflecting his demonstrated commitment and the absence of new catalysts for exit.