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icon for GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Amanda Hollowell 40%

Michael McCord 20%

Joyce Marie Griggs 11%

Patrick Wilver 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Amanda Hollowell 40%

Michael McCord 20%

Joyce Marie Griggs 11%

Patrick Wilver 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Amanda Hollowell

$40 Vol.

40%

Michael McCord

$523 Vol.

20%

Joyce Marie Griggs

$20 Vol.

11%

Patrick Wilver

$346 Vol.

10%

Randy Zurcher

$255 Vol.

5%

Defonsio Daniels

$20 Vol.

4%

Sharon Stokes-Williamson

$188 Vol.

4%

Joseph Palimeno

$188 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus in this crowded eight-way race favors Amanda Hollowell at 40% implied probability, driven by her background as a progressive organizer and advocate emphasizing economic justice, public education, and healthcare in coastal communities; Michael McCord follows at 20% on working-class messaging and prior campaign experience targeting rural voters. Joyce Marie Griggs and Patrick Wilver hold 11% and 10% amid fragmented support, with others trailing. The May 7 candidate forum sharpened debates on outreach strategies and party reversals in the Republican-leaning district, but absent public polling, odds reflect fundraising momentum and grassroots visibility without major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,581
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus in this crowded eight-way race favors Amanda Hollowell at 40% implied probability, driven by her background as a progressive organizer and advocate emphasizing economic justice, public education, and healthcare in coastal communities; Michael McCord follows at 20% on working-class messaging and prior campaign experience targeting rural voters. Joyce Marie Griggs and Patrick Wilver hold 11% and 10% amid fragmented support, with others trailing. The May 7 candidate forum sharpened debates on outreach strategies and party reversals in the Republican-leaning district, but absent public polling, odds reflect fundraising momentum and grassroots visibility without major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,581
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Amanda Hollowell" at 40%, followed by "Michael McCord" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Amanda Hollowell" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael McCord" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.