With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus in this crowded eight-way race favors Amanda Hollowell at 40% implied probability, driven by her background as a progressive organizer and advocate emphasizing economic justice, public education, and healthcare in coastal communities; Michael McCord follows at 20% on working-class messaging and prior campaign experience targeting rural voters. Joyce Marie Griggs and Patrick Wilver hold 11% and 10% amid fragmented support, with others trailing. The May 7 candidate forum sharpened debates on outreach strategies and party reversals in the Republican-leaning district, but absent public polling, odds reflect fundraising momentum and grassroots visibility without major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmanda Hollowell 40%
Michael McCord 20%
Joyce Marie Griggs 11%
Patrick Wilver 10%
Amanda Hollowell
40%
Michael McCord
20%
Joyce Marie Griggs
11%
Patrick Wilver
10%
Randy Zurcher
5%
Defonsio Daniels
4%
Sharon Stokes-Williamson
4%
Joseph Palimeno
1%
Amanda Hollowell 40%
Michael McCord 20%
Joyce Marie Griggs 11%
Patrick Wilver 10%
Amanda Hollowell
40%
Michael McCord
20%
Joyce Marie Griggs
11%
Patrick Wilver
10%
Randy Zurcher
5%
Defonsio Daniels
4%
Sharon Stokes-Williamson
4%
Joseph Palimeno
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus in this crowded eight-way race favors Amanda Hollowell at 40% implied probability, driven by her background as a progressive organizer and advocate emphasizing economic justice, public education, and healthcare in coastal communities; Michael McCord follows at 20% on working-class messaging and prior campaign experience targeting rural voters. Joyce Marie Griggs and Patrick Wilver hold 11% and 10% amid fragmented support, with others trailing. The May 7 candidate forum sharpened debates on outreach strategies and party reversals in the Republican-leaning district, but absent public polling, odds reflect fundraising momentum and grassroots visibility without major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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