Jamie Davis advanced from Louisiana’s May 16 Democratic primary with 47.4% of the vote, carrying all 64 parishes and eliminating the other listed candidates before a June 27 runoff against Gary Crockett. His statewide rural base as a Tensas Parish farmer and Democratic State Central Committee member, combined with party endorsement and consistent polling leads in the low-to-mid 50s, underpins trader consensus near 91%. Early voting that opened June 12 has so far reinforced this positioning. A narrow Crockett upset could occur only if opposition consolidates sharply or turnout patterns shift dramatically in the final days before the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJamie Davis Jr. 100.0%
Tracie Burke <1%
Jabarie Walker <1%
Nick Albares <1%
$64,334 Vol.
$64,334 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Tracie Burke
No
Jamie Davis Jr.
Yes
Jabarie Walker
No
Nick Albares
No
Gary Crockett
No
Jamie Davis Jr. 100.0%
Tracie Burke <1%
Jabarie Walker <1%
Nick Albares <1%
$64,334 Vol.
$64,334 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Tracie Burke
$16,526 Vol.
No
Jamie Davis Jr.
$24,813 Vol.
Yes
Jabarie Walker
$18,406 Vol.
No
Nick Albares
$2,479 Vol.
No
Gary Crockett
$2,111 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis advanced from Louisiana’s May 16 Democratic primary with 47.4% of the vote, carrying all 64 parishes and eliminating the other listed candidates before a June 27 runoff against Gary Crockett. His statewide rural base as a Tensas Parish farmer and Democratic State Central Committee member, combined with party endorsement and consistent polling leads in the low-to-mid 50s, underpins trader consensus near 91%. Early voting that opened June 12 has so far reinforced this positioning. A narrow Crockett upset could occur only if opposition consolidates sharply or turnout patterns shift dramatically in the final days before the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Volume
$64,334End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis advanced from Louisiana’s May 16 Democratic primary with 47.4% of the vote, carrying all 64 parishes and eliminating the other listed candidates before a June 27 runoff against Gary Crockett. His statewide rural base as a Tensas Parish farmer and Democratic State Central Committee member, combined with party endorsement and consistent polling leads in the low-to-mid 50s, underpins trader consensus near 91%. Early voting that opened June 12 has so far reinforced this positioning. A narrow Crockett upset could occur only if opposition consolidates sharply or turnout patterns shift dramatically in the final days before the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$64,334End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jamie Davis advanced from Louisiana’s May 16 Democratic primary with 47.4% of the vote, carrying all 64 parishes and eliminating the other listed candidates before a June 27 runoff against Gary Crockett. His statewide rural base as a Tensas Parish farmer and Democratic State Central Committee member, combined with party endorsement and consistent polling leads in the low-to-mid 50s, underpins trader consensus near 91%. Early voting that opened June 12 has so far reinforced this positioning. A narrow Crockett upset could occur only if opposition consolidates sharply or turnout patterns shift dramatically in the final days before the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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