Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race, backed by the district's post-redistricting partisan lean, his established incumbency, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to challenger Robb Tucker's roughly $258,000. Bera and Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary, after which nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others consistently rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's voter registration and recent presidential voting patterns favor Democrats by several points. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these structural advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the result before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ami Bera (D)
96%
Robb Tucker (R)
3%
$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ami Bera (D)
$25,988 Vol.
96%
Robb Tucker (R)
$17,619 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race, backed by the district's post-redistricting partisan lean, his established incumbency, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to challenger Robb Tucker's roughly $258,000. Bera and Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary, after which nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others consistently rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's voter registration and recent presidential voting patterns favor Democrats by several points. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these structural advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$43,607Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race, backed by the district's post-redistricting partisan lean, his established incumbency, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to challenger Robb Tucker's roughly $258,000. Bera and Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary, after which nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others consistently rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's voter registration and recent presidential voting patterns favor Democrats by several points. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these structural advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,607Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ami Bera holds a commanding position in California's 3rd congressional district race, backed by the district's post-redistricting partisan lean, his established incumbency, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to challenger Robb Tucker's roughly $258,000. Bera and Tucker advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary, after which nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others consistently rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's voter registration and recent presidential voting patterns favor Democrats by several points. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these structural advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the result before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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