Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ankara's highest temperature on March 25 clustering tightly around 10-13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 11-12°C amid a persistent northerly airflow bringing cooler continental air from Russia. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models align closely, showing peak afternoon temperatures near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, though slight divergences arise from uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Historical March data indicates average highs of 13°C, but this year's cooler anomaly—tied to a weakened Azores High—tilts odds downward, with 12°C edging ahead at 24.5% as traders weigh upcoming 00Z model runs for final differentiation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
12°C 25%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
19%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 25%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
19%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ankara's highest temperature on March 25 clustering tightly around 10-13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 11-12°C amid a persistent northerly airflow bringing cooler continental air from Russia. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models align closely, showing peak afternoon temperatures near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, though slight divergences arise from uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and potential cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Historical March data indicates average highs of 13°C, but this year's cooler anomaly—tied to a weakened Azores High—tilts odds downward, with 12°C edging ahead at 24.5% as traders weigh upcoming 00Z model runs for final differentiation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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