Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily high near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by stable early-autumn conditions featuring northeast winds of 10-15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture that limits both strong heating and significant cooling. Current observations on September 13 show highs around 24-25°C with scattered showers, setting a baseline that aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects tight model agreement on this range, with lower odds on 24°C or 22°C capturing minor uncertainties from wind shifts or cloud cover variations. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 15 septembre ?
23°C 52%
22°C 25%
24°C 19%
18°C ou moins 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
13%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
11%
22°C
25%
23°C
52%
24°C
19%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C ou plus
8%
23°C 52%
22°C 25%
24°C 19%
18°C ou moins 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
13%
19°C
$10 Vol.
4%
20°C
$10 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$69 Vol.
25%
23°C
$64 Vol.
52%
24°C
$12 Vol.
19%
25°C
$50 Vol.
7%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily high near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by stable early-autumn conditions featuring northeast winds of 10-15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture that limits both strong heating and significant cooling. Current observations on September 13 show highs around 24-25°C with scattered showers, setting a baseline that aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects tight model agreement on this range, with lower odds on 24°C or 22°C capturing minor uncertainties from wind shifts or cloud cover variations. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$229Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily high near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by stable early-autumn conditions featuring northeast winds of 10-15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture that limits both strong heating and significant cooling. Current observations on September 13 show highs around 24-25°C with scattered showers, setting a baseline that aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects tight model agreement on this range, with lower odds on 24°C or 22°C capturing minor uncertainties from wind shifts or cloud cover variations. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily high near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by stable early-autumn conditions featuring northeast winds of 10-15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture that limits both strong heating and significant cooling. Current observations on September 13 show highs around 24-25°C with scattered showers, setting a baseline that aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects tight model agreement on this range, with lower odds on 24°C or 22°C capturing minor uncertainties from wind shifts or cloud cover variations. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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