Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 12 septembre ?
33°C 56%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
31°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
56%
34°C
23%
35°C
3%
36°C ou plus
2%
33°C 56%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
31°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$226 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$89 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$177 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,778 Vol.
19%
33°C
$733 Vol.
56%
34°C
$622 Vol.
23%
35°C
$268 Vol.
3%
36°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,558Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,558Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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