**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** High elevation around 2,240 meters above sea level keeps baseline temperatures moderate, while the ongoing rainy season brings persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs and station observations show highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C average highs but tempered by above-normal moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between partly cloudy intervals allowing brief warming and the suppressing effects of rain and cloud, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflecting limited upside potential under these conditions. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 septembre ?
24°C 49%
25°C 25%
23°C 16%
26°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$16,355 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,355 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
3%
27°C ou plus
2%
24°C 49%
25°C 25%
23°C 16%
26°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$16,355 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,355 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$348 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$348 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$46 Vol.
1%
22°C
$618 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,283 Vol.
16%
24°C
$5,843 Vol.
49%
25°C
$3,338 Vol.
25%
26°C
$991 Vol.
3%
27°C ou plus
$24 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** High elevation around 2,240 meters above sea level keeps baseline temperatures moderate, while the ongoing rainy season brings persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs and station observations show highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C average highs but tempered by above-normal moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between partly cloudy intervals allowing brief warming and the suppressing effects of rain and cloud, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflecting limited upside potential under these conditions. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$16,355Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** High elevation around 2,240 meters above sea level keeps baseline temperatures moderate, while the ongoing rainy season brings persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs and station observations show highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C average highs but tempered by above-normal moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between partly cloudy intervals allowing brief warming and the suppressing effects of rain and cloud, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflecting limited upside potential under these conditions. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,355Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates a daily maximum near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** High elevation around 2,240 meters above sea level keeps baseline temperatures moderate, while the ongoing rainy season brings persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs and station observations show highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24°C average highs but tempered by above-normal moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between partly cloudy intervals allowing brief warming and the suppressing effects of rain and cloud, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflecting limited upside potential under these conditions. Updated forecasts and real-time observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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