Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits daytime heating while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C and recent short-range guidance showing little day-to-day variability. Trader consensus at 61.5% for 32°C and 24.5% for 33°C reflects narrow uncertainty bands in the latest model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized warming if winds weaken. No significant heatwave signals or forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 6 août ?
32°C 62%
33°C 25%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$10,422 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,422 Vol.
6 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
62%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
33°C 25%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$10,422 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,422 Vol.
6 août 2026
29°C or below
$809 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$405 Vol.
1%
31°C
$877 Vol.
5%
32°C
$4,033 Vol.
62%
33°C
$605 Vol.
25%
34°C
$773 Vol.
6%
35°C
$806 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits daytime heating while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C and recent short-range guidance showing little day-to-day variability. Trader consensus at 61.5% for 32°C and 24.5% for 33°C reflects narrow uncertainty bands in the latest model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized warming if winds weaken. No significant heatwave signals or forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,422Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits daytime heating while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C and recent short-range guidance showing little day-to-day variability. Trader consensus at 61.5% for 32°C and 24.5% for 33°C reflects narrow uncertainty bands in the latest model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized warming if winds weaken. No significant heatwave signals or forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,422Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This setup limits daytime heating while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C and recent short-range guidance showing little day-to-day variability. Trader consensus at 61.5% for 32°C and 24.5% for 33°C reflects narrow uncertainty bands in the latest model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized warming if winds weaken. No significant heatwave signals or forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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