Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with a brief warm spell that already produced a 30.7°C reading on August 2. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could tip the outcome either way. Historical August highs average 22–24°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders have priced 29°C and 30°C as nearly equal favorites, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 6 août ?
29°C 36%
30°C 36%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 36%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with a brief warm spell that already produced a 30.7°C reading on August 2. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could tip the outcome either way. Historical August highs average 22–24°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders have priced 29°C and 30°C as nearly equal favorites, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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