Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely fall in the 32–34 °C range, driven by a moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover following peak heat on August 5. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective development, and timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 33 °C; drier, clearer conditions could push readings toward 34 °C while increased cloud or showers would cap values near 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local station observations against historical August extremes for the region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 6 août ?
33°C 31%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
27%
33°C
31%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 31%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
$334 Vol.
2%
30°C
$278 Vol.
3%
31°C
$236 Vol.
13%
32°C
$331 Vol.
27%
33°C
$2,923 Vol.
31%
34°C
$434 Vol.
17%
35°C
$561 Vol.
7%
36°C
$30 Vol.
1%
37°C
$111 Vol.
1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C ou plus
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely fall in the 32–34 °C range, driven by a moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover following peak heat on August 5. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective development, and timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 33 °C; drier, clearer conditions could push readings toward 34 °C while increased cloud or showers would cap values near 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local station observations against historical August extremes for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,716Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely fall in the 32–34 °C range, driven by a moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover following peak heat on August 5. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective development, and timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 33 °C; drier, clearer conditions could push readings toward 34 °C while increased cloud or showers would cap values near 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local station observations against historical August extremes for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,716Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely fall in the 32–34 °C range, driven by a moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover following peak heat on August 5. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective development, and timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 33 °C; drier, clearer conditions could push readings toward 34 °C while increased cloud or showers would cap values near 32 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and local station observations against historical August extremes for the region.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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