Latest forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and the UK Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Istanbul on August 6 under sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow. This aligns with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns, where high pressure and limited cloud cover support peak readings near the seasonal average of 28–29 °C while Bosphorus sea breezes often cap extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant heat advection or frontal cooling expected before evening. Traders have priced 28 °C as the clear favorite at 60.5 % implied probability, followed by 29 °C and 27 °C, reflecting consensus on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30 °C or below 27 °C absent last-minute observational shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 6 août ?
28°C 61%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
26°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$13,680 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,680 Vol.
6 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
61%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 61%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
26°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$13,680 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,680 Vol.
6 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$397 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,821 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,109 Vol.
16%
28°C
$3,941 Vol.
61%
29°C
$2,047 Vol.
19%
30°C
$695 Vol.
1%
31°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and the UK Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Istanbul on August 6 under sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow. This aligns with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns, where high pressure and limited cloud cover support peak readings near the seasonal average of 28–29 °C while Bosphorus sea breezes often cap extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant heat advection or frontal cooling expected before evening. Traders have priced 28 °C as the clear favorite at 60.5 % implied probability, followed by 29 °C and 27 °C, reflecting consensus on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30 °C or below 27 °C absent last-minute observational shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,680Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and the UK Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Istanbul on August 6 under sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow. This aligns with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns, where high pressure and limited cloud cover support peak readings near the seasonal average of 28–29 °C while Bosphorus sea breezes often cap extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant heat advection or frontal cooling expected before evening. Traders have priced 28 °C as the clear favorite at 60.5 % implied probability, followed by 29 °C and 27 °C, reflecting consensus on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30 °C or below 27 °C absent last-minute observational shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,680Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, AccuWeather, and the UK Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Istanbul on August 6 under sunny conditions and moderate northeasterly flow. This aligns with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns, where high pressure and limited cloud cover support peak readings near the seasonal average of 28–29 °C while Bosphorus sea breezes often cap extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant heat advection or frontal cooling expected before evening. Traders have priced 28 °C as the clear favorite at 60.5 % implied probability, followed by 29 °C and 27 °C, reflecting consensus on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30 °C or below 27 °C absent last-minute observational shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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