Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate peak temperatures of 28–30°C on August 6, driven by persistent summer high-pressure patterns over the region and moderate southerly flow from warmer Mediterranean air masses. Official model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows limited day-to-day variability, with clear skies and light winds supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate highs. Historical August baselines in Istanbul average 27–29°C, placing the current setup near climatological norms rather than extremes, while the absence of recent heatwave signals or frontal passages has stabilized trader expectations around these central outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 6 août ?
28°C 54%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
54%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 54%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
54%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate peak temperatures of 28–30°C on August 6, driven by persistent summer high-pressure patterns over the region and moderate southerly flow from warmer Mediterranean air masses. Official model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows limited day-to-day variability, with clear skies and light winds supporting efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate highs. Historical August baselines in Istanbul average 27–29°C, placing the current setup near climatological norms rather than extremes, while the absence of recent heatwave signals or frontal passages has stabilized trader expectations around these central outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show minimal shifts, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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