Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 8 août ?
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$500 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$521 Vol.
1%
27°C
$544 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,052 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,398 Vol.
49%
30°C
$1,049 Vol.
18%
31°C
$1,174 Vol.
3%
32°C
$414 Vol.
1%
33°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou plus
$618 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,268Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,268Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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