Recent forecast guidance from European models highlights radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver positioning 13–15°C as the favored range for Paris's overnight low on August 8, with 14°C commanding the highest market-implied probability. Post-heatwave stabilization has reduced cloud cover and humidity, supporting efficient surface heat loss consistent with climatological August minima near 15°C, while ensemble spreads allow for slight downward revisions if winds remain calm. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the short time to resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs could still shift probabilities among the clustered outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 8 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 8 août ?
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 26%
16°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
31%
14°C
57%
15°C
26%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 26%
16°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
11°C ou moins
$54 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$81 Vol.
2%
13°C
$318 Vol.
31%
14°C
$863 Vol.
57%
15°C
$398 Vol.
26%
16°C
$217 Vol.
11%
17°C
$107 Vol.
1%
18°C
$298 Vol.
1%
19°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models highlights radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver positioning 13–15°C as the favored range for Paris's overnight low on August 8, with 14°C commanding the highest market-implied probability. Post-heatwave stabilization has reduced cloud cover and humidity, supporting efficient surface heat loss consistent with climatological August minima near 15°C, while ensemble spreads allow for slight downward revisions if winds remain calm. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the short time to resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs could still shift probabilities among the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,801Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models highlights radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver positioning 13–15°C as the favored range for Paris's overnight low on August 8, with 14°C commanding the highest market-implied probability. Post-heatwave stabilization has reduced cloud cover and humidity, supporting efficient surface heat loss consistent with climatological August minima near 15°C, while ensemble spreads allow for slight downward revisions if winds remain calm. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the short time to resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs could still shift probabilities among the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,801Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models highlights radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver positioning 13–15°C as the favored range for Paris's overnight low on August 8, with 14°C commanding the highest market-implied probability. Post-heatwave stabilization has reduced cloud cover and humidity, supporting efficient surface heat loss consistent with climatological August minima near 15°C, while ensemble spreads allow for slight downward revisions if winds remain calm. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the short time to resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs could still shift probabilities among the clustered outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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