Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 9 centering on 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection. Recent stabilization following June's extreme heatwave (which set national records above 40°C) has reduced volatility in short-range guidance, though ensemble spreads still allow for minor upward or downward shifts of 1–2°C based on evolving synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 9 août ?
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C
47%
26°C
29%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
21°C or below
$326 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$632 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
4%
24°C
$194 Vol.
17%
25°C
$53 Vol.
47%
26°C
$12 Vol.
29%
27°C
$18 Vol.
7%
28°C
$27 Vol.
3%
29°C
$44 Vol.
1%
30°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 9 centering on 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection. Recent stabilization following June's extreme heatwave (which set national records above 40°C) has reduced volatility in short-range guidance, though ensemble spreads still allow for minor upward or downward shifts of 1–2°C based on evolving synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,526Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 9 centering on 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection. Recent stabilization following June's extreme heatwave (which set national records above 40°C) has reduced volatility in short-range guidance, though ensemble spreads still allow for minor upward or downward shifts of 1–2°C based on evolving synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,526Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 9 centering on 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid moderate high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection. Recent stabilization following June's extreme heatwave (which set national records above 40°C) has reduced volatility in short-range guidance, though ensemble spreads still allow for minor upward or downward shifts of 1–2°C based on evolving synoptic patterns. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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