Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, consistent with early-September transitional conditions where solar heating is moderated by increasing cloud cover and regional pressure patterns. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) while assigning lower probability to 22°C or 25°C outliers. Historical early-September maxima near 20–22°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the upper end of that envelope without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky amplification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 septembre ?
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 19%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 19%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
18°C or below
$203 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$145 Vol.
2%
21°C
$8 Vol.
5%
22°C
$307 Vol.
19%
23°C
$516 Vol.
45%
24°C
$640 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$112 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$310 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, consistent with early-September transitional conditions where solar heating is moderated by increasing cloud cover and regional pressure patterns. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) while assigning lower probability to 22°C or 25°C outliers. Historical early-September maxima near 20–22°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the upper end of that envelope without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,252Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, consistent with early-September transitional conditions where solar heating is moderated by increasing cloud cover and regional pressure patterns. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) while assigning lower probability to 22°C or 25°C outliers. Historical early-September maxima near 20–22°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the upper end of that envelope without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,252Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, consistent with early-September transitional conditions where solar heating is moderated by increasing cloud cover and regional pressure patterns. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) while assigning lower probability to 22°C or 25°C outliers. Historical early-September maxima near 20–22°C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the upper end of that envelope without signals for stronger advection or clear-sky amplification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes