Israel's repeated airstrikes on Iranian targets amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war—sparked by US-Israeli operations on February 28—have targeted nuclear sites, energy infrastructure, and leadership, with the most recent verified action on April 4 hitting Iran's Mahshahr petrochemical complex and halting production. Escalation signals include Iranian vows of retaliation via Strait of Hormuz disruptions, countered by a US naval blockade enforced April 13, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks launched April 14 seek to curb Hezbollah clashes. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against reports of Israel readying further attacks on Iranian missile arrays and facilities, contingent on US approval and negotiation outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAction militaire d'Israël contre l'Iran par... ?
Action militaire d'Israël contre l'Iran par... ?
$1,548,796 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
14 avril
1%
21 avril
12%
$1,548,796 Vol.
14 avril
$1,106,291 Vol.
1%
21 avril
$442,505 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israel's repeated airstrikes on Iranian targets amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war—sparked by US-Israeli operations on February 28—have targeted nuclear sites, energy infrastructure, and leadership, with the most recent verified action on April 4 hitting Iran's Mahshahr petrochemical complex and halting production. Escalation signals include Iranian vows of retaliation via Strait of Hormuz disruptions, countered by a US naval blockade enforced April 13, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks launched April 14 seek to curb Hezbollah clashes. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against reports of Israel readying further attacks on Iranian missile arrays and facilities, contingent on US approval and negotiation outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Volume
$1,548,796Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israel's repeated airstrikes on Iranian targets amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war—sparked by US-Israeli operations on February 28—have targeted nuclear sites, energy infrastructure, and leadership, with the most recent verified action on April 4 hitting Iran's Mahshahr petrochemical complex and halting production. Escalation signals include Iranian vows of retaliation via Strait of Hormuz disruptions, countered by a US naval blockade enforced April 13, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks launched April 14 seek to curb Hezbollah clashes. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against reports of Israel readying further attacks on Iranian missile arrays and facilities, contingent on US approval and negotiation outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,548,796Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's repeated airstrikes on Iranian targets amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war—sparked by US-Israeli operations on February 28—have targeted nuclear sites, energy infrastructure, and leadership, with the most recent verified action on April 4 hitting Iran's Mahshahr petrochemical complex and halting production. Escalation signals include Iranian vows of retaliation via Strait of Hormuz disruptions, countered by a US naval blockade enforced April 13, while Israel-Lebanon direct talks launched April 14 seek to curb Hezbollah clashes. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against reports of Israel readying further attacks on Iranian missile arrays and facilities, contingent on US approval and negotiation outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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