Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3 show minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with persistent cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and prevents sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates light-to-moderate winds maintaining mixing, while any timing differences in overnight precipitation or wind gusts could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but recent warm anomalies and the absence of high-pressure setups support the current trader focus on this narrow band rather than extremes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 3 septembre ?
17°C 36%
18°C 27%
16°C 27%
15°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
8%
15°C
9%
16°C
27%
17°C
36%
18°C
27%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 36%
18°C 27%
16°C 27%
15°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
8%
15°C
$8 Vol.
9%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
36%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3 show minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with persistent cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and prevents sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates light-to-moderate winds maintaining mixing, while any timing differences in overnight precipitation or wind gusts could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but recent warm anomalies and the absence of high-pressure setups support the current trader focus on this narrow band rather than extremes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$338Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3 show minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with persistent cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and prevents sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates light-to-moderate winds maintaining mixing, while any timing differences in overnight precipitation or wind gusts could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but recent warm anomalies and the absence of high-pressure setups support the current trader focus on this narrow band rather than extremes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$338Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3 show minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds for those outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with persistent cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and prevents sharper drops typical of clearer conditions. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates light-to-moderate winds maintaining mixing, while any timing differences in overnight precipitation or wind gusts could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but recent warm anomalies and the absence of high-pressure setups support the current trader focus on this narrow band rather than extremes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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