Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 4 minimum will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by a southwesterly flow of mild maritime air ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and widespread rain or showers will suppress nighttime radiative cooling, preventing sharp drops typical under clear skies. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h further limit temperature extremes by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages show a mean low near 12°C, so the current setup favors above-normal values, though model spread on exact frontal timing and wind strength creates uncertainty between the closely priced 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated NHC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 4 septembre ?
22°C ou plus 69%
18°C 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
7%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
13%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
29%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C ou plus
69%
22°C ou plus 69%
18°C 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
7%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 4 minimum will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by a southwesterly flow of mild maritime air ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and widespread rain or showers will suppress nighttime radiative cooling, preventing sharp drops typical under clear skies. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h further limit temperature extremes by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages show a mean low near 12°C, so the current setup favors above-normal values, though model spread on exact frontal timing and wind strength creates uncertainty between the closely priced 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated NHC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 4 minimum will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by a southwesterly flow of mild maritime air ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and widespread rain or showers will suppress nighttime radiative cooling, preventing sharp drops typical under clear skies. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h further limit temperature extremes by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages show a mean low near 12°C, so the current setup favors above-normal values, though model spread on exact frontal timing and wind strength creates uncertainty between the closely priced 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated NHC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 4 minimum will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by a southwesterly flow of mild maritime air ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and widespread rain or showers will suppress nighttime radiative cooling, preventing sharp drops typical under clear skies. Westerly winds of 15–25 km/h further limit temperature extremes by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages show a mean low near 12°C, so the current setup favors above-normal values, though model spread on exact frontal timing and wind strength creates uncertainty between the closely priced 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated NHC and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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