Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chongqing le 15 septembre ?
20°C 99%
17°C 20%
19°C 10%
16°C ou moins <1%
$1,965 Vol.
$1,965 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
20°C 99%
17°C 20%
19°C 10%
16°C ou moins <1%
$1,965 Vol.
$1,965 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$180 Vol.
Non
17°C
$142 Vol.
Non
18°C
$127 Vol.
Non
19°C
$172 Vol.
Non
20°C
$392 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$434 Vol.
Non
22°C
$241 Vol.
Non
23°C
$86 Vol.
Non
24°C
$139 Vol.
Non
25°C
$26 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$26 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,965Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,965Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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