Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 8 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where typical lows range 18–22°C absent major weather systems. Model consensus and real-time station reports have reinforced trader confidence in the 20–21°C range as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or below due to limited additional cooling potential before sunrise. Updated guidance through the evening has kept implied probabilities stable, reflecting minimal deviation from baseline expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 8 septembre ?
21°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
$1,691 Vol.
$1,691 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
21°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
$1,691 Vol.
$1,691 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$60 Vol.
Non
17°C
$245 Vol.
Non
18°C
$40 Vol.
Non
19°C
$144 Vol.
Non
20°C
$30 Vol.
Non
21°C
$145 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$65 Vol.
Non
23°C
$43 Vol.
Non
24°C
$880 Vol.
Non
25°C
$25 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 8 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where typical lows range 18–22°C absent major weather systems. Model consensus and real-time station reports have reinforced trader confidence in the 20–21°C range as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or below due to limited additional cooling potential before sunrise. Updated guidance through the evening has kept implied probabilities stable, reflecting minimal deviation from baseline expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,691Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 8 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where typical lows range 18–22°C absent major weather systems. Model consensus and real-time station reports have reinforced trader confidence in the 20–21°C range as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or below due to limited additional cooling potential before sunrise. Updated guidance through the evening has kept implied probabilities stable, reflecting minimal deviation from baseline expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,691Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 8 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where typical lows range 18–22°C absent major weather systems. Model consensus and real-time station reports have reinforced trader confidence in the 20–21°C range as the most probable outcome, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or below due to limited additional cooling potential before sunrise. Updated guidance through the evening has kept implied probabilities stable, reflecting minimal deviation from baseline expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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