**Current forecasts for London's overnight minimum on September 1, 2026, center on 12–15 °C, with 13 °C holding the highest market-implied probability (43 %).** Official guidance from the Met Office and high-resolution models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate building high pressure and reduced cloud cover overnight, promoting radiational cooling under light winds. Early-morning readings from sites such as Heathrow are projected near 12–13 °C around 05:00–06:00 BST before daytime warming begins. Climatological norms for early September place the average minimum near 12 °C, providing a baseline that recent model runs have slightly exceeded due to the clearing trend. Disagreements among ensembles—some showing 14–16 °C under marginally stronger winds or residual cloud, others dipping to 12 °C with clearer skies—keep the distribution tight around 13–14 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model cycles and Met Office updates will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 1er septembre ?
14°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 18%
10°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
15%
13°C
43%
14°C
28%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
2%
14°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 18%
10°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$36 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$163 Vol.
1%
10°C
$31 Vol.
15%
11°C
$66 Vol.
18%
12°C
$119 Vol.
15%
13°C
$247 Vol.
43%
14°C
$163 Vol.
28%
15°C
$76 Vol.
9%
16°C
$15 Vol.
8%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for London's overnight minimum on September 1, 2026, center on 12–15 °C, with 13 °C holding the highest market-implied probability (43 %).** Official guidance from the Met Office and high-resolution models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate building high pressure and reduced cloud cover overnight, promoting radiational cooling under light winds. Early-morning readings from sites such as Heathrow are projected near 12–13 °C around 05:00–06:00 BST before daytime warming begins.
Climatological norms for early September place the average minimum near 12 °C, providing a baseline that recent model runs have slightly exceeded due to the clearing trend. Disagreements among ensembles—some showing 14–16 °C under marginally stronger winds or residual cloud, others dipping to 12 °C with clearer skies—keep the distribution tight around 13–14 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model cycles and Met Office updates will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$946Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for London's overnight minimum on September 1, 2026, center on 12–15 °C, with 13 °C holding the highest market-implied probability (43 %).** Official guidance from the Met Office and high-resolution models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate building high pressure and reduced cloud cover overnight, promoting radiational cooling under light winds. Early-morning readings from sites such as Heathrow are projected near 12–13 °C around 05:00–06:00 BST before daytime warming begins.
Climatological norms for early September place the average minimum near 12 °C, providing a baseline that recent model runs have slightly exceeded due to the clearing trend. Disagreements among ensembles—some showing 14–16 °C under marginally stronger winds or residual cloud, others dipping to 12 °C with clearer skies—keep the distribution tight around 13–14 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model cycles and Met Office updates will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$946Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for London's overnight minimum on September 1, 2026, center on 12–15 °C, with 13 °C holding the highest market-implied probability (43 %).** Official guidance from the Met Office and high-resolution models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate building high pressure and reduced cloud cover overnight, promoting radiational cooling under light winds. Early-morning readings from sites such as Heathrow are projected near 12–13 °C around 05:00–06:00 BST before daytime warming begins. Climatological norms for early September place the average minimum near 12 °C, providing a baseline that recent model runs have slightly exceeded due to the clearing trend. Disagreements among ensembles—some showing 14–16 °C under marginally stronger winds or residual cloud, others dipping to 12 °C with clearer skies—keep the distribution tight around 13–14 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model cycles and Met Office updates will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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