Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 12°C in Paris under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 11.8°C, and recent observations show temperatures dropping to the low teens Celsius by early morning before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind speed could raise the minimum above 13°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution by official Météo-France data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 12 septembre ?
12°C 99.4%
10°C <1%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
$12,457 Vol.
$12,457 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 99.4%
10°C <1%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
$12,457 Vol.
$12,457 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$95 Vol.
1%
9°C
$15 Vol.
1%
10°C
$95 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,169 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,309 Vol.
99%
13°C
$11,497 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,498 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 12°C in Paris under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 11.8°C, and recent observations show temperatures dropping to the low teens Celsius by early morning before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind speed could raise the minimum above 13°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution by official Météo-France data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,457Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 12°C in Paris under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 11.8°C, and recent observations show temperatures dropping to the low teens Celsius by early morning before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind speed could raise the minimum above 13°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution by official Météo-France data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,457Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 12°C in Paris under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 11.8°C, and recent observations show temperatures dropping to the low teens Celsius by early morning before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 12°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind speed could raise the minimum above 13°C, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution by official Météo-France data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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