Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C in Paris under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and dry conditions, supporting the market's clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. This reflects a mild air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, above the long-term September average low near 12°C, following recent high-pressure dominance that suppressed stronger cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 13°C or 16°C. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance signals against typical forecast uncertainty in short-range minimums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Paris le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Paris le 13 septembre ?
14°C 41%
15°C 29%
13°C 17%
17°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
17%
14°C
41%
15°C
29%
16°C
10%
17°C
15%
18°C
14%
19°C ou plus
2%
14°C 41%
15°C 29%
13°C 17%
17°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
6%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$358 Vol.
6%
13°C
$501 Vol.
17%
14°C
$908 Vol.
41%
15°C
$407 Vol.
29%
16°C
$73 Vol.
10%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C in Paris under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and dry conditions, supporting the market's clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. This reflects a mild air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, above the long-term September average low near 12°C, following recent high-pressure dominance that suppressed stronger cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 13°C or 16°C. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance signals against typical forecast uncertainty in short-range minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,246Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C in Paris under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and dry conditions, supporting the market's clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. This reflects a mild air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, above the long-term September average low near 12°C, following recent high-pressure dominance that suppressed stronger cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 13°C or 16°C. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance signals against typical forecast uncertainty in short-range minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,246Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C in Paris under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and dry conditions, supporting the market's clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. This reflects a mild air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight, above the long-term September average low near 12°C, following recent high-pressure dominance that suppressed stronger cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 13°C or 16°C. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Traders appear to weigh these stable guidance signals against typical forecast uncertainty in short-range minimums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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