Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Séoul le 25 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Séoul le 25 juin ?
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
$705 Vol.
Non
16°C
$675 Vol.
Non
17°C
$937 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,255 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,440 Vol.
Non
20°C
$7,594 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$2,015 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,029 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,269 Vol.
Non
24°C
$370 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$337 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,625Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,625Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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