**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.** This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 19 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 19 septembre ?
19°C 49%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
42%
20°C
27%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
1%
19°C 49%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$41 Vol.
1%
15°C
$41 Vol.
1%
16°C
$41 Vol.
5%
17°C
$41 Vol.
7%
18°C
$105 Vol.
18%
19°C
$300 Vol.
42%
20°C
$506 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C ou plus
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.**
This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,118Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.**
This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,118Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.** This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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