Recent forecast model runs from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 1. Coastal proximity to the warm Mediterranean moderates nocturnal temperature drops via sea-breeze advection and high humidity (70-85%), limiting further cooling compared to inland sites. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the precise minimum by 1-2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 24-26°C, placing current conditions close to average and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20-24°C. Updated model guidance and official observations near dawn will refine resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 1er septembre ?
20°C 100.0%
22°C 100%
21°C 94%
19°C or below 1.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
100%
21°C
94%
22°C
100%
23°C
51%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
22°C 100%
21°C 94%
19°C or below 1.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
$285 Vol.
1%
20°C
$49 Vol.
100%
21°C
$31 Vol.
94%
22°C
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$36 Vol.
51%
24°C
$10 Vol.
-
25°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 1. Coastal proximity to the warm Mediterranean moderates nocturnal temperature drops via sea-breeze advection and high humidity (70-85%), limiting further cooling compared to inland sites. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the precise minimum by 1-2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 24-26°C, placing current conditions close to average and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20-24°C. Updated model guidance and official observations near dawn will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$959Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 1. Coastal proximity to the warm Mediterranean moderates nocturnal temperature drops via sea-breeze advection and high humidity (70-85%), limiting further cooling compared to inland sites. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the precise minimum by 1-2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 24-26°C, placing current conditions close to average and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20-24°C. Updated model guidance and official observations near dawn will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$959Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum near 23°C in Tel Aviv on September 1. Coastal proximity to the warm Mediterranean moderates nocturnal temperature drops via sea-breeze advection and high humidity (70-85%), limiting further cooling compared to inland sites. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the precise minimum by 1-2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 24-26°C, placing current conditions close to average and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20-24°C. Updated model guidance and official observations near dawn will refine resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes