Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 14°C in Tokyo on April 27, 2026, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMEDAS) observations at the official Tokyo station, which recorded this pre-dawn minimum amid persistent cloud cover that trapped nocturnal heat and mitigated radiative cooling. This outcome exceeds the prior JMA forecast of 13°C, aligning with urban heat island influences elevating late-April lows above the 11–12°C climatological average. With daytime temperatures now rising under partly cloudy skies, no further cooling is possible, as daily minima are set by early-morning readings. Revisions to JMA data are exceedingly rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 27 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 27 avril ?
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$32,226 Vol.
$32,226 Vol.
27 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Non
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$32,226 Vol.
$32,226 Vol.
27 avr. 2026
9°C ou moins
$1,979 Vol.
Non
10°C
$2,612 Vol.
Non
11°C
$1,964 Vol.
Non
12°C
$1,974 Vol.
Non
13°C
$2,616 Vol.
Non
14°C
$3,489 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$2,538 Vol.
Non
16°C
$6,082 Vol.
Non
17°C
$4,074 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,744 Vol.
Non
19°C ou plus
$3,155 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 14°C in Tokyo on April 27, 2026, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMEDAS) observations at the official Tokyo station, which recorded this pre-dawn minimum amid persistent cloud cover that trapped nocturnal heat and mitigated radiative cooling. This outcome exceeds the prior JMA forecast of 13°C, aligning with urban heat island influences elevating late-April lows above the 11–12°C climatological average. With daytime temperatures now rising under partly cloudy skies, no further cooling is possible, as daily minima are set by early-morning readings. Revisions to JMA data are exceedingly rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$32,226Date de fin
27 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 14°C in Tokyo on April 27, 2026, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMEDAS) observations at the official Tokyo station, which recorded this pre-dawn minimum amid persistent cloud cover that trapped nocturnal heat and mitigated radiative cooling. This outcome exceeds the prior JMA forecast of 13°C, aligning with urban heat island influences elevating late-April lows above the 11–12°C climatological average. With daytime temperatures now rising under partly cloudy skies, no further cooling is possible, as daily minima are set by early-morning readings. Revisions to JMA data are exceedingly rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,226Date de fin
27 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 14°C in Tokyo on April 27, 2026, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMEDAS) observations at the official Tokyo station, which recorded this pre-dawn minimum amid persistent cloud cover that trapped nocturnal heat and mitigated radiative cooling. This outcome exceeds the prior JMA forecast of 13°C, aligning with urban heat island influences elevating late-April lows above the 11–12°C climatological average. With daytime temperatures now rising under partly cloudy skies, no further cooling is possible, as daily minima are set by early-morning readings. Revisions to JMA data are exceedingly rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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