Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 8 septembre ?
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 Vol.
$5,853 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 Vol.
$5,853 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$574 Vol.
Non
9°C
$370 Vol.
Non
10°C
$190 Vol.
Non
11°C
$393 Vol.
Non
12°C
$905 Vol.
Oui
13°C
$413 Vol.
Non
14°C
$535 Vol.
Non
15°C
$449 Vol.
Non
16°C
$69 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,256 Vol.
Non
18°C ou plus
$698 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,853Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,853Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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