Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 9 septembre ?
20°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 Vol.
$2,539 Vol.
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
20°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 Vol.
$2,539 Vol.
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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