Recent June 2026 PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise well below the 6.2% consensus and a sharp 0.3% monthly decline driven by a 12% drop in gasoline prices, has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in July readings. This outcome, the lowest in three months amid easing goods costs and softer services inflation, has elevated implied probabilities for ≤5.1% to 63.5% while compressing odds on higher brackets. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus pricing in sustained energy relief and base effects, though the August 13 release could shift with any rebound in input costs or revisions to prior figures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≤5,1 % 64%
5,2 % 11%
5,4 % 9.8%
5,3 % 7.7%
$38,922 Vol.
$38,922 Vol.
≤5,1 %
64%
5,2 %
11%
5,3 %
8%
5,4 %
10%
5,5 %
2%
5,6 %
2%
5,7 %
4%
5,8 %
2%
5,9 %
3%
6,0 %+
7%
≤5,1 % 64%
5,2 % 11%
5,4 % 9.8%
5,3 % 7.7%
$38,922 Vol.
$38,922 Vol.
≤5,1 %
64%
5,2 %
11%
5,3 %
8%
5,4 %
10%
5,5 %
2%
5,6 %
2%
5,7 %
4%
5,8 %
2%
5,9 %
3%
6,0 %+
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise well below the 6.2% consensus and a sharp 0.3% monthly decline driven by a 12% drop in gasoline prices, has anchored trader expectations for further moderation in July readings. This outcome, the lowest in three months amid easing goods costs and softer services inflation, has elevated implied probabilities for ≤5.1% to 63.5% while compressing odds on higher brackets. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus pricing in sustained energy relief and base effects, though the August 13 release could shift with any rebound in input costs or revisions to prior figures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes