Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the seat by roughly 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's baseline partisan shift and the June primary victory by former Representative Ben McAdams over more progressive challengers. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the reconfigured lines. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the absence of competitive polling movement or major developments since the map took effect, though late-cycle factors such as turnout surges, candidate health events, or national political shifts could still narrow the margin before November voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
UT-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$42,063 Vol.
$42,063 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
4%
$42,063 Vol.
$42,063 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,649 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$36,414 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the seat by roughly 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's baseline partisan shift and the June primary victory by former Representative Ben McAdams over more progressive challengers. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the reconfigured lines. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the absence of competitive polling movement or major developments since the map took effect, though late-cycle factors such as turnout surges, candidate health events, or national political shifts could still narrow the margin before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$42,063Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the seat by roughly 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's baseline partisan shift and the June primary victory by former Representative Ben McAdams over more progressive challengers. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the reconfigured lines. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the absence of competitive polling movement or major developments since the map took effect, though late-cycle factors such as turnout surges, candidate health events, or national political shifts could still narrow the margin before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,063Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have carried the seat by roughly 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's baseline partisan shift and the June primary victory by former Representative Ben McAdams over more progressive challengers. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the reconfigured lines. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the absence of competitive polling movement or major developments since the map took effect, though late-cycle factors such as turnout surges, candidate health events, or national political shifts could still narrow the margin before November voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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