Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during April 10-17 at over 75% combined implied probability, with 60-79 posts edging out at 41% versus 37.5% for 40-59, reflecting his consistent pattern of daily video addresses—unbroken for over 1,500 days since the invasion—plus frequent updates on frontline shifts and diplomacy. Recent Russian escalation via hundreds of drones and missiles over Easter, rejecting Zelenskyy's truce offer despite civilian casualties, Ukrainian retaliatory strikes on Baltic oil infrastructure, and April 1 security guarantee talks with U.S. envoys have sustained elevated volumes around 7-11 posts daily. The tight race stems from variable event intensity; intensified airstrikes, battlefield gains, or aid announcements could drive toward 80+, while lulls favor lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourZelenskyy # posts 10 avril - 17 avril 2026 ?
Zelenskyy # posts 10 avril - 17 avril 2026 ?
60-79 42%
40-59 39%
80-99 31%
140-159 11.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
<20
3%
20-39
7%
40-59
42%
60-79
42%
80-99
31%
100-119
7%
120-139
13%
140-159
12%
160-179
8%
180-199
2%
200+
3%
60-79 42%
40-59 39%
80-99 31%
140-159 11.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
<20
$244 Vol.
3%
20-39
$46 Vol.
7%
40-59
$23 Vol.
42%
60-79
$26 Vol.
42%
80-99
$11 Vol.
31%
100-119
$34 Vol.
7%
120-139
$34 Vol.
13%
140-159
$34 Vol.
12%
160-179
$145 Vol.
8%
180-199
$146 Vol.
2%
200+
$292 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during April 10-17 at over 75% combined implied probability, with 60-79 posts edging out at 41% versus 37.5% for 40-59, reflecting his consistent pattern of daily video addresses—unbroken for over 1,500 days since the invasion—plus frequent updates on frontline shifts and diplomacy. Recent Russian escalation via hundreds of drones and missiles over Easter, rejecting Zelenskyy's truce offer despite civilian casualties, Ukrainian retaliatory strikes on Baltic oil infrastructure, and April 1 security guarantee talks with U.S. envoys have sustained elevated volumes around 7-11 posts daily. The tight race stems from variable event intensity; intensified airstrikes, battlefield gains, or aid announcements could drive toward 80+, while lulls favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,035Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during April 10-17 at over 75% combined implied probability, with 60-79 posts edging out at 41% versus 37.5% for 40-59, reflecting his consistent pattern of daily video addresses—unbroken for over 1,500 days since the invasion—plus frequent updates on frontline shifts and diplomacy. Recent Russian escalation via hundreds of drones and missiles over Easter, rejecting Zelenskyy's truce offer despite civilian casualties, Ukrainian retaliatory strikes on Baltic oil infrastructure, and April 1 security guarantee talks with U.S. envoys have sustained elevated volumes around 7-11 posts daily. The tight race stems from variable event intensity; intensified airstrikes, battlefield gains, or aid announcements could drive toward 80+, while lulls favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,035Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 40-79 times on X during April 10-17 at over 75% combined implied probability, with 60-79 posts edging out at 41% versus 37.5% for 40-59, reflecting his consistent pattern of daily video addresses—unbroken for over 1,500 days since the invasion—plus frequent updates on frontline shifts and diplomacy. Recent Russian escalation via hundreds of drones and missiles over Easter, rejecting Zelenskyy's truce offer despite civilian casualties, Ukrainian retaliatory strikes on Baltic oil infrastructure, and April 1 security guarantee talks with U.S. envoys have sustained elevated volumes around 7-11 posts daily. The tight race stems from variable event intensity; intensified airstrikes, battlefield gains, or aid announcements could drive toward 80+, while lulls favor lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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