Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया125-130m 21%
115-120m 19%
110-115m 16%
105-110m 14%
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
14%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
7%
125-130m 21%
115-120m 19%
110-115m 16%
105-110m 14%
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
14%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
19%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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