Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid geopolitical tensions boosting global inflation and repeated supply shocks. Governor Tiff Macklem's recent speeches highlight structural economic shifts, modest 1.1% GDP growth forecast for 2026, and a bumpy CPI trajectory despite core measures easing toward the 2% target, reinforced by resilient labor market indicators. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no immediate policy pivot. Realistic challenges include downside surprises in the April 20 CPI print or softening employment data tilting toward cuts, while escalating oil prices from Middle East unrest could marginally lift hike odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ़ कनाडा का फ़ैसला?
अप्रैल में बैंक ऑफ़ कनाडा का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 98.0%
वृद्धि 1.1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
50+ आधार अंकों की कटौती <1%
$100,228 वॉल्यूम
$100,228 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ आधार अंकों की कटौती
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
98%
वृद्धि
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 98.0%
वृद्धि 1.1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
50+ आधार अंकों की कटौती <1%
$100,228 वॉल्यूम
$100,228 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ आधार अंकों की कटौती
$25,393 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
$27,047 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$35,468 वॉल्यूम
98%
वृद्धि
$12,320 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid geopolitical tensions boosting global inflation and repeated supply shocks. Governor Tiff Macklem's recent speeches highlight structural economic shifts, modest 1.1% GDP growth forecast for 2026, and a bumpy CPI trajectory despite core measures easing toward the 2% target, reinforced by resilient labor market indicators. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no immediate policy pivot. Realistic challenges include downside surprises in the April 20 CPI print or softening employment data tilting toward cuts, while escalating oil prices from Middle East unrest could marginally lift hike odds.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$100,228समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid geopolitical tensions boosting global inflation and repeated supply shocks. Governor Tiff Macklem's recent speeches highlight structural economic shifts, modest 1.1% GDP growth forecast for 2026, and a bumpy CPI trajectory despite core measures easing toward the 2% target, reinforced by resilient labor market indicators. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no immediate policy pivot. Realistic challenges include downside surprises in the April 20 CPI print or softening employment data tilting toward cuts, while escalating oil prices from Middle East unrest could marginally lift hike odds.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$100,228समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, reflecting the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid geopolitical tensions boosting global inflation and repeated supply shocks. Governor Tiff Macklem's recent speeches highlight structural economic shifts, modest 1.1% GDP growth forecast for 2026, and a bumpy CPI trajectory despite core measures easing toward the 2% target, reinforced by resilient labor market indicators. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no immediate policy pivot. Realistic challenges include downside surprises in the April 20 CPI print or softening employment data tilting toward cuts, while escalating oil prices from Middle East unrest could marginally lift hike odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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